20/07/2025
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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 Picks

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The Ultimate Showdown: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 – A Trilogy for the Ages

The Build-Up: A Fight Years in the Making

The anticipation for UFC 318 is palpable, not just because it features two of the most electrifying fighters in MMA history, but because it represents the culmination of a decade-long rivalry. Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier first met in 2012, a time when both were still finding their footing in the UFC. Poirier, the more experienced fighter at the time, secured a submission victory, setting the stage for what would become one of the most compelling rivalries in MMA.

Their second encounter in 2019 was a masterclass in striking, with Poirier edging out Holloway in a thrilling back-and-forth battle. Now, six years later, they meet again, but this time, the stakes are higher than ever. Holloway, the current BMF champion, is looking to cement his legacy as one of the greatest featherweights of all time. Poirier, on the other hand, has hinted that this could be his final fight, making this a potential swan song for one of the sport’s most beloved fighters.

The Fighters: A Tale of Two Styles

Max Holloway: The Relentless Storm

Holloway’s evolution as a fighter has been nothing short of remarkable. Once known for his ground game, he has transformed into a striking machine, capable of overwhelming opponents with his unparalleled volume and pace. His cardio is seemingly limitless, allowing him to maintain a torrid pace for five rounds. However, his reliance on high-volume striking can sometimes leave him open to counter-strikes, particularly from fighters with power like Poirier.

Dustin Poirier: The Powerhouse

Poirier, a seasoned veteran, is known for his devastating power and striking prowess. His ability to land knockout blows with both hands makes him a constant threat. Additionally, his grappling skills, particularly his guillotine choke, have been instrumental in his victories. However, his tendency to engage in brawls can sometimes work against him, especially against fighters who can outlast him in the later rounds.

The Keys to Victory: Strategies and Tactics

Holloway’s Game Plan

For Holloway to emerge victorious, he needs to:

  • Maintain Distance: Utilize his reach and footwork to stay out of Poirier’s power range.
  • Volume and Pressure: Overwhelm Poirier with his signature high-volume striking.
  • Wear Poirier Down: Exploit Poirier’s tendency to slow down in later rounds.

    • Poirier’s Game Plan

    For Poirier to secure the win, he needs to:

  • Early Power: Look to land his powerful strikes early and often, aiming to hurt Holloway.
  • Leg Kicks: Target Holloway’s legs to slow him down and limit his movement.
  • Capitalize on Opportunities: If Holloway gets reckless, Poirier needs to be ready to capitalize with a knockout blow or a submission attempt.

    • The Odds and Predictions: A Numbers Game

    Heading into UFC 318, the oddsmakers slightly favor Max Holloway. Holloway is listed as the favorite at -130 to -142, while Poirier is the underdog at +110 to +120. This reflects the perception that Holloway’s relentless pace and volume striking may be too much for Poirier to handle over five rounds.

    However, it’s crucial to remember that Poirier possesses the power to change the fight with a single punch. Several experts suggest that the over/under on rounds is an interesting betting proposition, with many leaning towards the fight going over 4.5 rounds.

    The Undercard: A Night of Action

    While Holloway vs. Poirier 3 is undoubtedly the main attraction, UFC 318 features a stacked undercard with several intriguing matchups:

    – Roman Kopylov vs. Paulo Costa: A middleweight clash between two knockout artists. Kopylov’s striking accuracy versus Costa’s relentless aggression makes this a guaranteed barnburner.
    – Francisco Prado vs. Nikolay Veretennikov: A welterweight bout featuring Prado as the favorite, known for his knockout power.

    The BMF Title: More Than Just a Belt

    The BMF title, initially created for the fight between Nate Diaz and Jorge Masvidal, represents more than just a championship; it embodies a certain attitude, a willingness to fight anyone, anywhere. Holloway, the current BMF titleholder, has certainly lived up to that moniker. Adding this title to the fight only amplifies the stakes.

    Poirier’s Potential Farewell: The End of an Era?

    Dustin Poirier has hinted that UFC 318 could be his last fight. After 14 years in the UFC, Poirier has cemented himself as one of the most respected and beloved fighters in the sport. A victory over Holloway would be a storybook ending to a legendary career.

    Conclusion: A Night of Unforgettable Action

    UFC 318 promises to be a night of unforgettable action. The main event, Holloway vs. Poirier 3, is a clash of titans, a battle for legacy, and a potential farewell to a legend. With a stacked undercard and the BMF title on the line, this is an event that no MMA fan can afford to miss. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or simply a fight fan, UFC 318 is sure to deliver thrills, spills, and memories that will last a lifetime.

    The Diamond’s Last Dance, or Blessed Continues His Reign? Only time will tell who emerges victorious, but one thing is certain: UFC 318 will be a night to remember.

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